6B 06-15 (1 Min) 5.28.2015

 GBP Second Estimate GDP  Comments Off on 6B 06-15 (1 Min) 5.28.2015
Jun 062015
 

6B 06-15 (1 Min)  5_28_2015 6B 06-15 (Second)  5_28_2015

5/28/2015 Second Estimate GDP (0430 EDT)
Forecast: 0.4%
Actual: 0.3%
TRAP TRADE – OUTER TIER
Started @ 1.5362 (shift 4 ticks lower to 1.5358)
————
Trap Trade:
)))1st Peak @ 1.5336 – 0430:00 (1 min)
)))-22 ticks

)))Reversal to 1.5366 – 0430:21 (1 min)
)))30 ticks
————
Pullback to 1.5336 – 0433 (3 min)
30 ticks

Reversal to 1.5357 – 0437 (7 min)
21 ticks

Final Peak @ 1.5300 – 0603 (93 min)
58 ticks

Trap Trade Bracket setup:
Long entries – 1.5348 (just below the R1 Mid Pivot) / 1.5337 (just above the LOD)
Short entries – 1.5367 (just above the R1 Pivot) / 1.5378 (No SMA / Pivot near)

Notes: The reading came in 0.1% below the forecast. This caused a 22 tick short spike that started above the OOD and fell to reach the LOD immediately. This would have filled both long entries making the average long position 1.5342.5. It reversed quickly to the 100 /200 SMAs in 21 sec then backed off to hover at 1.5360 to allow a total of 35 ticks to be captured. Then it fell for a double bottom in 2 min before reversing 21 ticks in 4 min. After that it fell for a final peak of 36 more ticks to the S1 Pivot in 86 min.

6B 09-15 (1 Min) 8.28.2015

 GBP Second Estimate GDP  Comments Off on 6B 09-15 (1 Min) 8.28.2015
Jan 052016
 

6B 09-15 (1 Min) 8_28_2015

8/28/2015 Second Estimate GDP (0430 EDT)
Forecast: 0.7%
Actual: 0.7%
TRAP TRADE – DULL NO FILL
Started @ 1.5402
————
Trap Trade:
)))1st Peak @ 1.5419 – 0430:34 (1 min)
)))17 ticks

)))Reversal to 1.5412 – 0430:36 (1 min)
)))-7 ticks
————
2nd Peak @ 1.5427 – 0435 (5 min)
25 ticks

Reversal to 1.5361 – 0509 (39 min)
66 ticks

Pullback to 1.5405 – 0528 (93 min)
58 ticks

Trap Trade Bracket setup:
Long entries – 1.5392 (No SMA / Pivot near) / 1.5381 (just below the S1 Pivot)
Short entries – 1.5413 (on the PP Pivot) / 1.5423 (just below the 200 SMA)

Notes: Cancel the order as it was slow moving and would not have filled the inner short tier until 25 sec after the release.

6B 12-15 (1 Min) 11.27.2015

 GBP Second Estimate GDP  Comments Off on 6B 12-15 (1 Min) 11.27.2015
Jan 052016
 

6B 12-15 (1 Min) 11_27_2015

11/27/2015 Second Estimate GDP (0430 EST)
Forecast: 0.5%
Actual: 0.5%
TRAP TRADE – DULL NO FILL
Anchor Pt @ 1.5054 – shift up 2 ticks to 1.5056
————
Trap Trade:
)))1st Peak @ 1.5072 – 0430:37 (1 min)
)))16 ticks

)))Reversal to 1.5066 – 0430:50 (1 min)
)))-6 ticks

)))Pullback to 1.5072 – 0431:11 (2 min)
)))6 ticks
————
Reversal to 1.5032 – 0458 (28 min)
66 ticks

Trap Trade Bracket setup:
Long entries – 1.5045 (on the S3 Pivot) / 1.5036 (No SMA / Pivot near)
Short entries – 1.5067 (on the PP Pivot) / 1.5077 (on the S2 Pivot)

Notes: Cancel the order as it was slow moving and would not have filled the inner short tier until 23 sec after the release.