ZC 12-15 (1 Min) 8.12.2015

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Aug 252015
 

ZC 12-15 (1 Min) 8_12_2015

8/12/2015 World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) – Corn (1200 EDT)
Forecast: n/a
Actual: n/a
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 392.75
1st Peak @ 366.75 – 1201:22 (1 min)
104 ticks

Reversal to 373.00 – 1202:18 (3 min)
25 ticks

2nd Peak @ 357.50 – 1209 (9 min)
141 ticks

Reversal to 370.75 – 1238 (38 min)
53 ticks

Notes: Report Reaction caused a huge short spike of 104 ticks in 82 sec that crossed every support barrier until peaking on the S4 Pivot. With JOBB and a 5 tick bracket, your short entry would have filled at 390.00 with 6 ticks of slippage, then look to exit at the S4 Mid Pivot with at least 70 ticks. It reversed 25 ticks in 1 min before falling for a 2nd peak of 37 more ticks in 6 min. Then it reversed 53 ticks in 29 min to the S4 Mid Pivot.

ZC 12-15 (1 Min) 7.10.2015

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Aug 252015
 

ZC 12-15 (1 Min) 7_10_2015

7/10/2015 World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) – Corn (1200 EDT)
Forecast: n/a
Actual: n/a
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 441.75
1st Peak @ 436.00 – 1200:19 (1 min)
23 ticks

Reversal to 442.50 – 1200:37 (1 min)
26 ticks

2nd Peak @ 434.25 – 1201:46 (2 min)
30 ticks

Reversal to 449.00 – 1229 (29 min)
59 ticks

Pullback to 444.50 – 1238 (38 min)
18 ticks

Notes: Report Reaction caused short spike of 23 ticks in 19 sec that eclipsed the S1 Mid Pivot / LOD. With JOBB and a 5 tick bracket, your short entry would have filled at 440.50 with no slippage, then look to exit at about 436.75 with 15 ticks where it hovered for 10 sec at the S1 Mid Pivot. After that it reversed 26 ticks to the R1 Pivot in 18 sec before falling for a 2nd peak of 7 more ticks in 1 min to the S1 Pivot. Then it reversed 59 ticks in 27 min after crossing the R2 Pivot and extending the HOD before pulling back 18 ticks to the R2 Mid Pivot / 50 SMA in 9 min.

ZC 07-15 (1 Min) 6.10.2015

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Jun 222015
 

ZC 07-15 (1 Min)  6_10_2015

6/10/2015 World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) / Grain Stocks – Corn (1200 EDT)
Forecast: n/a
Actual: n/a
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 362.25
1st Peak @ 360.00 – 1200:18 (1 min)
9 ticks

Reversal to 364.50 – 1201:14 (2 min)
18 ticks

Pullback to 361.25 – 1201:56 (2 min)
13 ticks

Reversal to 364.75 – 1216 (16 min)
14 ticks

2nd Peak @ 356.75 – 1320 (80 min)
22 ticks

Reversal to 360.00 – 1401 (121 min)
13 ticks

Notes: Report Reaction caused a small roller coaster type reaction. It fell only 9 ticks to reach the LOD in 18 sec, then hovered within 2 ticks of the LOD for 7 sec before reversing. With JOBB, you would have filled short at 361.00 with no slippage. Then it hovered around 360.25 to allow about 3 ticks to be captured. When it makes a small move and stalls, it almost always reverses strongly, so an exit or reversal would be prudent. Then it reversed 18 ticks in about 1 min to cross the S1 Mid Pivot and nearly reach the OOD before pulling back 13 ticks in 42 sec to the 50/100 SMAs. Then it reversed 14 ticks for a double top on the OOD in 14 min before falling for a 2nd peak of 13 more ticks to the S3 Mid Pivot in 64 min. After that it reversed 13 ticks in 41 min to the S2 Pivot.

ZC 07-15 (1 Min) 5.12.2015

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May 162015
 

ZC 07-15 (1 Min)  5_12_2015

5/12/2015 World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) / Grain Stocks – Corn (1200 EDT)
Forecast: n/a
Actual: n/a
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 359.25
1st Peak @ 364.00 – 1200:01 (1 min)
19 ticks

Reversal to 358.75 – 1200:15 (1 min)
21 ticks

Pullback to 363.75 – 1202 (2 min)
20 ticks

Reversal to 358.25 – 1205 (5 min)
22 ticks

2nd Peak @ 365.75 – 1221 (21 min)
26 ticks

Reversal to 360.75 – 1233 (33 min)
20 ticks

Pullback to 365.00 – 1250 (50 min)
17 ticks

Notes: Report Reaction caused a quick long spike for 19 ticks that started on the 50/200 SMAs and climbed to cross the HOD and R1 Pivot in 1 sec. With JOBB, you would have filled long at 361.25 with 3 ticks of slippage. Then it peaked and hovered near the top for 6 sec to give the signal to exit. As mentioned in the alert, look to exit at the first sign of hovering as a reversal is likely coming. So exit with about 5-10 ticks around the R1 Pivot. After that it reversed back to the origin in 14 sec and hovered for 22 sec before climbing for a double top on the next bar. Then it reversed to the OOD for 22 ticks in 3 min before climbing for a 2nd peak of 7 more ticks to nearly reach the R2 Pivot in 16 min. Finally it reversed 20 ticks in 12 min to the PP Pivot / 100 SMA before pulling back 17 ticks in 17 min to the R2 Mid Pivot. As the initial reaction swung back and forth about 20 ticks, this would have offered multiple opportunities to buy the dips and sell the tops.

ZC 05-15 (1 Min) 4.9.2015

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Apr 182015
 

ZC 05-15 (1 Min)  4_9_2015

4/9/2015 World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) / Grain Stocks – Corn (1200 EDT)
Forecast: n/a
Actual: n/a
DULL REACTION – NO FILL
Started @ 376.25
1st Peak @ 375.00 – 1200:34 (1 min)
5 ticks

Reversal to 378.75 – 1202 (2 min)
15 ticks

Pullback to 376.00 – 1204 (4 min)
11 ticks

Reversal to 380.00 – 1214 (14 min)
16 ticks

Notes: Report Reaction caused a slow developing dull reaction of only 5 ticks short in 34 sec. to the LOD. With JOBB, you should have cancelled the order with no fill after 15 sec. After the peak, it reversed 15 ticks in 1 min to the OOD before pulling back 11 ticks to the 100/50 SMAs and S1 Pivot in 2 min. Then it reversed 16 ticks in 10 min to the PP Pivot / HOD.

ZC 05-15 (1 Min) 3.10.2015

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Mar 312015
 

ZC 05-15 (1 Min)  3_10_2015

3/10/2015 World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) / Grain Stocks – Corn (1200 EST)
Forecast: n/a
Actual: n/a
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 384.25
1st Peak @ 387.75 – 1200:37 (1 min)
14 ticks

Reversal to 386.25 – 1202 (2 min)
6 ticks

2nd Peak @ 391.00 – 1208 (8 min)
27 ticks

Reversal to 387.00 – 1247 (47 min)
16 ticks

Notes: Report Reaction caused a slow developing long spike for 14 ticks that started on the 50 SMA and climbed to cross the 100/200 SMAs and reach the S1 Mid Pivot in 37 sec. With JOBB and a 5 tick bracket, you would have filled long at 385.50 with no slippage. Then it climbed slowly and hovered within 1 tick of the S1 Mid Pivot to allow an easy exit for about 8 ticks. After that it reversed 6 ticks in 1 min to the 200 SMA before climbing for a 2nd peak of 13 more ticks in 6 min to the R1 Pivot. Then it reversed 16 ticks after a double top to cross the S1 Mid Pivot and nearly reach the 200 SMA.

ZC 03-15 (1 Min) 2.10.2015

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Mar 132015
 

ZC 03-15 (1 Min)  2_10_2015

2/10/2015 World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) / Grain Stocks – Corn (1200 EST)
Forecast: n/a
Actual: n/a
SPIKE / REVERSE
Started @ 388.50
1st Peak @ 390.75 – 1200:09 (1 min)
9 ticks

Reversal to 388.50 – 1200:56 (1 min)
9 ticks

Double Top @ 390.75 – 1201:09 (2 min)
9 ticks

Reversal to 384.50 – 1204 (4 min)
25 ticks

Pullback to 391.00 – 1218 (18 min)
26 ticks

Reversal to 385.75 – 1342 (102 min)
21 ticks

Notes: Report Reaction caused a small roller coaster type reaction. It climbed only 9 ticks to reach the LOD in 9 sec, then hovered within 3 ticks of the top for 16 sec before reversing. With JOBB, you would have filled long at 389.75 with no slippage. Then it hovered around 390.00 for 16 sec to allow an exit for about 1-2 ticks. As it was a small reaction and hovered for a while, be sure to exit there. After that we saw a reversal of 9 ticks back to the origin as the bar was expiring then a rebound for a double top in 13 sec. Then it reversed 25 ticks in 2 min to cross the S1 Pivot and extend the LOD. The roller coaster continued as it pulled back 26 ticks in 14 min to the HOD again, before reversing 21 ticks to the S1 Pivot in 84 min.

ZC 03-15 (1 Min) 1.12.2015

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Feb 092015
 

ZC 03-15 (1 Min)  1_12_2015 ZC 03-15 (Second)  1_12_2015

1/12/2015 World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) / Grain Stocks – Corn (1200 EST)
Forecast: n/a
Actual: n/a
SPIKE / REVERSE
Started @ 397.50
1st Peak @ 407.00 – 1200:22 (1 min)
38 ticks

Reversal to 390.25 – 1201:41 (2 min)
67 ticks

Pullback to 403.00 – 1206 (6 min)
51 ticks

Reversal to 393.50 – 1212 (12 min)
38 ticks

Pullback to 406.00 – 1326 (86 min)
50 ticks

Notes: Report Reaction caused a roller coaster type reaction. It climbed 38 ticks, crossing the R2 Pivot then hovered before reversing around 20 sec after the top of the hour. This is very common with this report and was advised in the alert. With JOBB, you would have filled long at 398.75 with no slippage as the initial ascent was slow and tame. Then it hovered around 406.00 for 10 sec to allow an exit for about 25-30 ticks. Then it reversed 67 ticks in about 80 sec to nearly reach the S3 Mid Pivot before pulling back 51 ticks in 4 min to the R1 Pivot. Then it reversed 38 ticks in 6 min to the S2 Mid Pivot before pulling back 50 ticks in 74 min to the R2 Pivot.

ZC 03-15 (1 Min) 12.10.2014

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Jan 032015
 

ZC 03-15 (1 Min)  12_10_2014

12/10/2014 World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) – Corn (1200 EST)
Forecast: n/a
Actual: n/a
SPIKE / REVERSE
Started @ 392.75
1st Peak @ 395.25 – 1200:04 (1 min)
10 ticks

Reversal to 390.50 – 1200:22 (1 min)
19 ticks

Pullback to 395.00 – 1203 (3 min)
18 ticks

Reversal to 389.25 – 1212 (12 min)
23 ticks

Pullback to 394.50 – 1307 (67 min)
21 ticks

Notes: Report Reaction caused a long move of only 10 ticks in 4 sec that crossed all 3 major SMAs and the OOD while nearly reaching the R1 Mid Pivot. After hovering for 4 sec it reversed 19 ticks in 14 sec to cross the S1 Pivot. With JOBB, you would have filled long at 394.00 with no slippage, then seen it put 5 ticks on the board, hover between 3 and 5 ticks then reverse. As this is common, a quick exit would have been prudent for a handful of ticks. If you did not exit, you would have seen 12 ticks of heat as it reversed, but it pulled back quickly to chop sideways a few ticks in the red. It continued to climb until nearly achieving a double top on the :03 bar allowing an exit between 4 ticks loss and 4 ticks profit. Then it reversed 23 ticks in the next 9 min to the S2 Mid Pivot before pulling back 21 ticks in 55 min to the OOD.

ZC 12-14 (1 Min) 11.10.2014

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Nov 222014
 

ZC 12-14 (1 Min)  11_10_2014

11/10/2014 World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) – Corn (1200 EST)
Forecast: n/a
Actual: n/a
SPIKE / REVERSE
Started @ 372.00
1st Peak @ 378.75 – 1200:34 (1 min)
27 ticks

Reversal to 367.50 – 1202 (2 min)
45 ticks

Pullback to 375.00 – 1206 (6 min)
30 ticks

Reversal to 366.25 – 1211 (11 min)
35 ticks

Pullback to 374.25 – 1231 (31 min)
32 ticks

Notes: Report Reaction caused a long move of 27 ticks after 3 failed attempts to penetrate the R3 Mid Pivot. It started just above the 13 SMA and rose to reach the R3 Mid Pivot and extend the HOD. With JOBB, you would have filled long at 373.25 with 2 ticks of slippage, then seen it quickly rise to test the R3 Mid Pivot, then back off and test it 2 more times. As it hovered each time and presented multiple opportunities to exit there, look to cover at 377.75 or higher for at least 18 ticks. After that it reversed strongly for 45 ticks in a little over a minute to the PP Pivot. Then it pulled back to the R2 pivot for 30 ticks after 4 min. After that it reversed 35 ticks in 5 min to nearly reach the S1 Mid Pivot. Then it pulled back 32 ticks to the R2 Mid Pivot in 20 min and settled down to trade near the SMAs.