5/9/2011 Monthly Unemployment Report (1530 HI time / 2130 EDT)
Non Farm Jobs Forecast: -4.8K
Non Farm Jobs Actual:15.5K
Previous Revision:-6.4K to 37.6K
Rate Forecast: 5.3%
Rate Actual:4.9%
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 1.0024
1st Peak @ 1.0060 – 1531 (1 min)
36 ticks

2nd Peak @ 1.0083 – 1620 (50 min)
59 ticks

Reversal to 1.0036 – 1736 (126 min)
47 ticks

Notes: Very Strong positive report that exceeded the forecast with a mild downward revision to the previous strong report (not surprising) causing a healthy spike upward. The 1531 candle rose 36 ticks crossing the 50 SMA near the origin and the R1 Pivot near the peak. The peak was achieved late in the candle at about 37 sec into the :31 candle after hovering for 20 sec between 1.0045 and 1.0055 (ideal and safe exit). After a quick and small pullback, it sought out a 2nd peak gradually rising for another 23 ticks in 50 minutes. The reversal yielded 47 ticks over an hour after the 2nd peak dipping below the 200 SMA.

4/11/2011 Monthly Unemployment Report (1530 HI time / 2130 EDT)
Non Farm Jobs Forecast: 6.4K
Non Farm Jobs Actual: 44.0K
Previous Revision: n/a
Rate Forecast: 5.3%
Rate Actual:5.2%
SPIKE / RETRACE
Started @ 1.0231
1st Peak @ 1.0300 – 1531 (1 min)
69 ticks

Reversal to 1.0271 – 1553 (23 min)
29 ticks

Notes: Very Strong positive report that exceeded the forecast with no revision to the previous report causing a large spike upward. The 1531 candle went up about nearly 70 ticks crossing all three SMAs near the origin and the R1 / R2 Pivots roughly 1/3 and 2/3 up the path. The peak was achieved about 13 sec into the :31 candle, then it retreated to hover in between 1.0290 and 1.0278 then fell 50 before rebounding and continuing upward. Since it only stayed up at 1.0030 for about 1 sec, this would have been hard to get, but still good for at least 1.0285 on the close. The reversal yielded 29 ticks to just brush the R2 Pivot 23 min after the spike.

3/7/2012 Monthly Unemployment Report (1430 HI time / 1930 EST)
Non Farm Jobs Forecast: 5.1K
Non Farm Jobs Actual:-15.4K
Previous Revision: -0.1K to 46.2K
Rate Forecast: 5.2%
Rate Actual: 5.2%
SPIKE / RETRACE
Started @ 1.0559
1st Peak @ 1.0521 – 1431 (1 min)
38 ticks

Reversal to 1.0562 – 1445 (15 min)
41 ticks

Notes: Strongly negative report that fell short of the forecast with a negligible revision to the previous report causing a large spike downward. The 1431 candle spiked down about 17 ticks, then pulled back before ratcheting down to 1.0521 7 seconds later. Then it hovered for about 4 sec in the 1.0524 – 1.0526 area which is where to close out. Reversal happened quickly to erase the entire loss in 15 min hitting the 100 SMA and unable to cross.