6E 09 12 (1 Min) 08.27.12

 German lfo Business Climate  Comments Off on 6E 09 12 (1 Min) 08.27.12
Aug 272012
 


6E 09 12 (1 Min) 08.27.12

8/27/2012 German IFO Business Climate (2200 HI time / 0400 EDT)
Forecast: 102.7
Actual: 102.3
Previous Revision: -0.1 to 103.2
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 1.2518
1st Peak @ 1.2530 – 2205 (5 min)
12 ticks

2nd Peak @ 1.2537 – 2216 (16 min)
19 ticks

Reversal to 1.2515 – 0001 (121 min)
22 ticks

Notes: The reading came in only 0.4 points under the forecast to disappoint. This caused a delayed 12 tick long spike, peaking on the :05 bar that crossed the PP Pivot only. Due to the PP Pivot being close and the small report offset, the delay is not surprising. With JOBB, you could cancel the order as if it is a dull reaction, or wait for a spike as the report is occasionally delayed about 2 min. If you had waited, you would have filled long at about 1.2523 with no slippage, then had an opportunity to exit with 4-6 ticks where it extended the HOD by 4 ticks. It then pulled back a few ticks before gaining 7 more ticks on a 2nd Peak 11 min later. The reversal was slow and took nearly 2 hrs to appear as it tested each of the SMAs and the PP Pivot again, eventually bottoming out 4 ticks below the 200 SMA.

6E 09 12 (1 Min) 07.24.12

 German lfo Business Climate  Comments Off on 6E 09 12 (1 Min) 07.24.12
Jul 242012
 


6E 09 12 (1 Min) 07.24.12

7/24/2012 German IFO Business Climate (2200 HI time / 0400 EDT)
Forecast: 104.8
Actual: 103.3
Previous Revision: -0.1 to 105.2
SPIKE/REVERSE
Started @ 1.2096
1st Peak @ 1.2083 – 2201 (1 min)
13 ticks

Reversal to 1.2137 – 2221 (21 min)
54 ticks

Notes: The reading came in 1.5 points under the forecast to disappoint. This caused a 13 tick short spike on 1 bar that crossed the 100 and 200 SMAs, then bottomed at the PP Pivot. With all the support barriers, the drop was unsustainable as it rebounded to close the bar near the origin. With JOBB you would have filled short at about 1.2090 with no slippage. Look to exit with about 4-5 ticks at the 200 SMA where it hovered for 8 sec before reversing. It then reversed for 54 ticks, crossing the 50 SMA, the R1 Pivot, and extending the HOD by 9 ticks. After that it continued trading near the HOD, chopping sideways.

6E 09 12 (1 Min) 06.22.12

 German lfo Business Climate  Comments Off on 6E 09 12 (1 Min) 06.22.12
Jun 222012
 


6E 09 12 (1 Min) 06.22.12

6/22/2012 German IFO Business Climate (2200 HI time / 0400 EDT)
Forecast: 106.1
Actual: 105.3
Previous Revision: n/a
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 1.2545
1st Peak @ 1.2560 – 2202 (2 min)
15 ticks

Reversal to 1.2544 – 2213 (13 min)
16 ticks

2nd Peak @ 1.2567 – 2306 (66 min)
22 ticks

Reversal to 1.2550 – 2338 (98 min)
17 ticks

Notes: The reading came in nearly a point under the forecast to disappoint. This initially caused a 6 tick drop, then a 15 tick spike on 2 bars that eclipsed the 200 SMA and could not sustain the ascent. With JOBB you would have filled at about 1.2552 with no slippage. Look to exit with about 4-5 ticks at the 200 SMA. It then reversed for 16 ticks back to the origin about 10 min later, chopped sideways for another 30 min, then finally broke long for a 2nd peak of 7 more ticks about an hour after the report. Then it reversed for 17 ticks.