2/5/2015 Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report (1030 EST)
Forecast: -119B
Actual: -115B
SPIKE / REVERSE
Started @ 2.622
1st Peak @ 2.578 – 1030:10 (1 min)
44 ticks

Reversal to 2.619 – 1032 (2 min)
41 ticks

Pullback to 2.589 – 1033 (3 min)
30 ticks

Reversal to 2.626 – 1039 (9 min)
37 ticks

Notes: We saw a smaller draw on the reserve compared to the forecast which caused a moderate short move that fell quickly to cross the S2 Mid Pivot then retreat late in the bar. With JOBB and a 10 tick bracket, your short order would have filled around 2.597 with 15 ticks of slippage. Then you would have seen it chop around the fill point before settling to hover around 2.583 for 7 sec. Look to exit there with about 14 ticks. Then it reversed 41 ticks to the 13 SMA on the next bar before pulling back 30 ticks it the S2 Mid Pivot on the following bar. Then it reversed 37 ticks in 6 min to the 50/100 SMAs. After that it drifted lower and chopped sideways.

2/19/2015 Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report (1030 EST)
Forecast: -110B
Actual: -111B
INDECISIVE
Started @ 2.827
1st Peak @ 2.804 – 1030:00 (1 min)
23 ticks

Reversal to 2.853 – 1030:32 (1 min)
51 ticks

2nd Peak @ 2.786 – 1041 (11 min)
41 ticks

Reversal to 2.866 – 1107 (37 min)
80 ticks

Final Peak @ 2.772 – 1208 (98 min)
55 ticks

Reversal to 2.804 – 1219 (109 min)
32 ticks

Notes: We saw a near matching draw on the reserve compared to the forecast which caused an indecisive reaction with a quick short move that fell 23 ticks to hit the LOD then promptly reverse for 51 ticks to the 200 SMA. With JOBB and a 10 tick bracket, your short order would have filled around 2.810 with about 7 ticks of slippage. Then you would have seen your stop taken 2 sec later with minimal slippage for about a 22 tick loss. Due to the matching results, it settled into a roller coaster routine as it fell from the reversal for a 2nd peak of 18 more ticks to the PP Pivot in 10 min before reversing 80 ticks in 26 min to the R1 Pivot. Then it fell for a final peak of 14 more ticks to the S1 Mid Pivot in an hour before reversing 32 ticks to the 50 SMA in 11 min. These moves presented great opportunities to buy the lows and sell the tops.

3/5/2015 Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report (1030 EST)
Forecast: -224B
Actual: -228B
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 2.811
1st Peak @ 2.770 – 1030:14 (1 min)
41 ticks

Reversal to 2.792 – 1030:43 (1 min)
22 ticks

2nd Peak @ 2.765 – 1034 (4 min)
46 ticks

Reversal to 2.845 – 1055 (25 min)
80 ticks

Pullback to 2.797 – 1120 (50 min)
48 ticks

Notes: We saw a larger draw on the reserve compared to the forecast which caused a moderate short move that fell to cross the R1 Mid Pivot, OOD, and all 3 Major SMAs. With JOBB and a 10 tick bracket, your short order would have filled around 2.798 with about 3 ticks of slippage. Then you would have seen it continue to fall until it hovered around 2.775 for 7 sec. Look to exit there with about 20-25 ticks. After the hovering it reversed 22 ticks in about 30 sec to cross the 50 SMA before falling for a 2nd peak of 5 more ticks in 3 min. Then it reversed 80 ticks to cross the R2 Pivot and extend the HOD in 21 min before pulling back 48 ticks in 25 min to the 100 SMA.

3/19/2015 Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report (1030 EST)
Forecast: -50B
Actual: -45B
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 2.846
1st Peak @ 2.792 – 1030:13 (1 min)
54 ticks

Reversal to 2.811 – 1033 (3 min)
19 ticks

Pullback to 2.795 – 1047 (17 min)
16 ticks

Reversal to 2.823 – 1055 (25 min)
28 ticks

2nd Peak @ 2.789 – 1100 (30 min)
57 ticks

Reversal to 2.819 – 1114 (44 min)
30 ticks

Continued Reversal to 2.844 – 1140 (70 min)
55 ticks

Pullback to 2.806 – 1200 (90 min)
38 ticks

Notes: We saw a smaller draw on the reserve compared to the forecast which caused a healthy short move that fell to cross the 50 SMA, S1 Pivot, and extend the LOD. With JOBB and a 10 tick bracket, your short order would have filled around 2.828 with about 18 ticks of slippage. Then you would have seen it continue to fall until it hovered around 2.795 for 13 sec. Look to exit there with about 30-35 ticks. After the hovering it reversed 19 ticks in the next 2 min before pulling back for 16 ticks in 14 min. Then it reversed 28 ticks in 8 min to nearly reach the 50 SMA before falling for a 2nd peak of only 3 ticks in the next 5 min. After that it reversed 30 ticks in 14 min, another 25 ticks in 26 min to the S1 Mid Pivot / 200 SMA before pulling back 38 ticks in 20 min to the S1 Pivot.

4/2/2015 Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report (1030 EDT)
Forecast: -9B
Actual: -18B
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 2.627
1st Peak @ 2.700 – 1030:04 (1 min)
73 ticks

Reversal to 2.667 – 1032 (2 min)
33 ticks

2nd Peak @ 2.719 – 1117 (47 min)
92 ticks

Reversal to 2.696 – 1132 (62 min)
23 ticks

Notes: We saw a larger draw on the reserve compared to the forecast which caused a healthy long move that rose to nearly reach the R2 Pivot, and extend the LOD. With JOBB and a 10 tick bracket, your long order would have filled around 2.667 with about 30 ticks of slippage. Then you would have seen it continue to rise until it chopped above the R2 Mid Pivot for 8 sec. Look to exit there with about 12-20 ticks. After that it reversed 33 ticks in the next min before climbing for a 2nd peak of 19 more ticks in 45 min after crossing the R2 Pivot. Then it reversed 23 ticks in 15 min to the 50 SMA. Then it traded sideways.