6/25/2015 Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report (1030 EDT)
Forecast: 79B
Actual: 75B
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 2.845
1st Peak @ 2.804 – 1030:06 (1 min)
41 ticks

Reversal to 2.839 – 1030:29 (1 min)
35 ticks

Pullback to 2.803 – 1033 (3 min)
36 ticks

Reversal to 2.850 – 1039 (9 min)
47 ticks

2nd Peak @ 2.800 – 1049 (19 min)
45 ticks

Reversal to 2.831 – 1105 (35 min)
31 ticks

Notes: We saw a slightly lesser gain on the reserve compared to the forecast which caused a relatively slow short spike of 41 ticks in 6 sec that crossed all 3 Major SMAs and the R1 Pivot. With JOBB and a 10 tick bracket, you would have filled short at 2.834 with 1 tick of slippage then seen it fall another 30 ticks then reverse slowly for 35 ticks in 23 sec. After that it pulled back 36 ticks for a double bottom in 2 min. Look to exit quickly after seeing it start to back off with about 20 ticks. After the double bottom, it reversed 47 ticks in 6 min to nearly reach the HOD before falling for a minor 2nd peak of 4 more ticks in 10 min. Then it reversed 31 ticks in 16 min to the R2 Mid Pivot.

7/9/2015 Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report (1030 EDT)
Forecast: 86B
Actual: 91B
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 2.689
1st Peak @ 2.655 – 1030:04 (1 min)
34 ticks

Reversal to 2.671 – 1030:36 (1 min)
15 ticks

2nd Peak @ 2.644 – 1035 (5 min)
45 ticks

Reversal to 2.695 – 1100 (30 min)
51 ticks

Expected Fill: 2.670 (short)
Slippage: 9 ticks
Best Initial Exit: 2.656 -14 ticks
Recommended Profit Target placement: 2.656 and 2.641 (just below the S1 / S2 Mid Pivots)

Notes: Initial move found support at the S1 Pivot. After a small reversal, it fell to nearly reach the S2 Mid Pivot. Then a big reversal to cross the major SMAs and the OOD.

7/23/2015 Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report (1030 EDT)
Forecast: 71B
Actual: 61B
SPIKE / REVERSE
Started @ 2.910
1st Peak @ 2.951 – 1030:10 (1 min)
41 ticks

Reversal to 2.908 – 1030:23 (1 min)
43 ticks

Continued Reversal to 2.852 – 1049 (19 min)
99 ticks

Pullback to 2.872 – 1056 (26 min)
20 ticks

Expected Fill: 2.924 (long)
Slippage: 4 ticks
Best Initial Exit: 2.950 -26 ticks
Recommended Profit Target placement: 2.958 (just above the R2 Pivot) – move lower

Notes: Initial move was short lived but hovered for 6 sec to give a clear warning to exit. Then it reversed to the origin in 23 sec, and continued to drop for the next 20 min.

8/6/2015 Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report (1030 EDT)
Forecast: 46B
Actual: 32B
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 2.735
1st Peak @ 2.819 – 1031:58 (2 min)
84 ticks

Reversal to 2.784 – 1036 (6 min)
35 ticks

2nd Peak @ 2.828 – 1042 (12 min)
93 ticks

Reversal to 2.804 – 1045 (15 min)
24 ticks

Double Top @ 2.829 – 1106 (36 min)
25 ticks

Reversal to 2.802 – 1130 (60 min)
27 ticks

Expected Fill: 2.759 (long)
Slippage: 14 ticks
Best Initial Exit: 2.818 – 59 ticks
Recommended Profit Target placement: 2.790 (just above the HOD) – after seeing the results, you could have moved it higher.

Notes: Due to the 14 BCF offset, strong and drawn out first peak. Great opportunity to place a long order near the old HOD position at 1035-38 and target 30 or so ticks.

8/20/2015 Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report (1030 EDT)
Forecast: 60B
Actual: 53B
SPIKE / REVERSE
Started @ 2.724
1st Peak @ 2.781 – 1030:00 (1 min)
57 ticks

Reversal to 2.744 – 1036 (6 min)
37 ticks

Pullback to 2.775 – 1128 (58 min)
31 ticks

Reversal to 2.765 – 1133 (63 min)
10 ticks

Expected Fill: 2.750 (long)
Slippage: 16 ticks
Best Initial Exit: 2.780 -30 ticks
Recommended Profit Target placement: 2.782 (just above the R3 Mid Pivot) – move slightly lower

Notes: Initial move was fast and then hovered for 10 sec near the R3 Mid Pivot, so exit quickly. Nice reversal to the 13 EMA in 5 min followed by a prolonged slow pullback.