NG 05 12 (1 Min) 04.12.12

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Apr 122012
 


NG 05 12 (1 Min) 04.12.12

4/12/2012 Weekly Natural Gas Inventory Report (0430 HI time / 1030 EDT)
Forecast: 22B
Actual: 8B
SPIKE / REVERSE
Started @ 2.000
1st Peak @ 2.069 – 0431 (1 min)
69 ticks

Reversal to 1.971 – 0459 (29 min)
98 ticks

Notes: Spike crossed no SMAs at the origin, crossed the R1 Pivot line about 1/3 up its path, before eclipsing just below the R2 Pivot at 2.070. The report came in with a large offset of 14B ft3 rise, driving the positive spike, but was still a gain in supply. Thus, the reversal recovered all of the spike and more fighting through all SMAs, the R1 and PP Pivots for nearly 100 ticks in 29 min.

NG 05 12 (1 Min) 04.05.12

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Apr 052012
 


NG 05 12 (1 Min) 04.05.12

4/5/2012 Weekly Natural Gas Inventory Report (0430 HI time / 1030 EDT)
Forecast: 35B
Actual: 42B
SPIKE / REVERSE
Started @ 2.142
1st Peak @ 2.088 – 0431 (1 min)
54 ticks

Reversal to 2.133 – 0441 (11 min)
45 ticks

Notes: Spike crossed the 100 and 200 SMAs right at the origin, crossed the S1 line about a halfway down its path, before dipping a little below the S2 line to bottom out. The report came in with a relatively large offset of 7B ft3 rise, driving the negative spike. Reversal yielded 45 ticks in 10 min.

NG 05 12 (1 Min) 03.29.12

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Mar 292012
 


NG 05 12 (1 Min) 03.29.12

3/29/2012 Weekly Natural Gas Inventory Report (0430 HI time / 1030 EDT)
Forecast: 49B
Actual: 57B
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 2.235
1st Peak @ 2.175 – 0432 (2 min)
60 ticks

2nd Peak @ 2.165 – 0435 (5 min)
70 ticks

Reversal to 2.190 – 0449 (19 min)
25 ticks

Notes: Spike crossed no major SMAs, but it crossed the S2 line about a quarter of the way down its path. The report came in with a relatively large offset of 8B ft3 rise, so there was a rare 2nd peak that hit the S3 line before producing a small retracement of 25 ticks.

NG 04 12 (1 Min) 03.22.12

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Mar 222012
 


NG 04 12 (1 Min) 03.22.12

3/22/2012 Weekly Natural Gas Inventory Report (0430 HI time / 1030 EDT)
Forecast: 10B
Actual: 11B
SPIKE / RETRACE
Started @ 2.306
1st Peak @ 2.250 – 0431 (1 min)
56 ticks

Reversal to 2.297 – 0433 (3 min)
47 ticks

Notes: Spike crossed no major SMAs, but it crossed the S2 line about halfway down its path. The report also came in nearly matching the forecast, so the retracement was big and the reversal recaptured nearly all of the drop by the 0433 candle.

NG 04 12 (1 Min) 03.15.12

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Mar 152012
 


NG 04 12 (1 Min) 03.15.12

3/15/2012 Weekly Natural Gas Inventory Report (0430 HI time / 1030 EDT)
Forecast: -58B
Actual: -64B
SPIKE / RETRACE
Started @ 2.289
1st Peak @ 2.334 – 0431 (1 min)
45 ticks

Reversal to 2.288 – 0449 (19 min)
44 ticks

Notes: Spike crossed no major SMAs, but it peaked just below the R1 line. Reversal came back to the 50 SMA 19 min after the report.

NG 04 12 (1 Min) 03.08.12

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Mar 082012
 


NG 04 12 (1 Min) 03.08.12

3/8/2012 Weekly Natural Gas Inventory Report (0530 HI time / 1030 EST)
Forecast: -85B
Actual: -80B
SPIKE / RETRACE
Started @ 2.310
1st Peak @ 2.250 – 0531 (1 min)
60 ticks

Reversal to 2.266 – 0536 (6 min)
16 ticks

Notes: Spike crossed the 3 major SMAs relatively close to the origin, so little pullback effect was seen then settled just below the S2 line. Reversal is small, and did not last. Market seesawed around the S2 line after the report. No premature spike.