11/6/2014 Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report (1030 EST)
Forecast: 86B
Actual: 91B
SPIKE / REVERSE
Started @ 4.156
1st Peak @ 4.111 – 1030:02 (1 min)
45 ticks

Reversal to 4.179 – 1034 (4 min)
78 ticks

Pullback to 4.137 – 1038 (8 min)
41 ticks

Reversal to 4.176 – 1045 (15 min)
39 ticks

Notes: We saw a slightly larger gain on the reserve compared to the forecast which caused a short spike of 45 ticks after minimal premature volatility. The spike fell to cross the S1 Pivot then hovered for 4 sec before it started to back off. It retreated back to near the origin as the :31 bar expired, then continued to reverse for another 32 ticks in the next 3 min as it crossed the S1 Mid Pivot and 50 SMA. With JOBB and a 10 tick bracket, your short order would have filled at about 4.131 with 15 ticks of slippage. A profit target of about 15-20 ticks would have filled immediately. Otherwise, look to exit near the S1 Pivot as it started to retreat to capture about 5-8 ticks. After the reversal it pulled back 41 ticks in 4 min. Then it reversed 39 ticks to the S1 Mid Pivot and 100 SMA in the next 7 min.

11/20/2014 Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report (1030 EST)
Forecast: -12B
Actual: -17B
SPIKE / REVERSE
Started @ 4.399
1st Peak @ 4.502 – 1031:21 (2 min)
103 ticks

Reversal to 4.384 – 1046 (16 min)
118 ticks

Extended Reversal to 4.315 – 1118 (48 min)
187 ticks

Notes: We saw a slightly larger draw on the reserve compared to the forecast which caused a long spike of 50 ticks initially then another 53 ticks over the next 80 sec without any significant retreat. The spike rose to find initial resistance just below the R1 Mid Pivot, then proceeded to target the HOD shifting it up. With JOBB and a 10 tick bracket, your long order would have filled at about 4.430 with 20+ ticks of slippage. A profit target of about 15-20 ticks would have filled immediately. Otherwise, a patient exit would have been prudent on this report as it did not hover until about 35 sec after the report at the HOD. An exit there would have secured 50+ ticks. After peaking in the middle of the :32 bar, it backed off to chop below the old HOD position for about 10 min, then reversed 118 ticks in the next 8 min as it crossed the OOD and 3 Major SMAs. Then it chopped sideways and fell another 69 ticks in the next 32 min, crossing the PP Pivot and extending the LOD.

12/4/2014 Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report (1030 EST)
Forecast: -51B
Actual: -22B
SPIKE / REVERSE
Started @ 3.739
1st Peak @ 3.671 – 1030:00 (1 min)
68 ticks

Reversal to 3.700 – 1033 (3 min)
29 ticks

Pullback to 3.680 – 1039 (9 min)
20 ticks

Reversal to 3.703 – 1048 (18 min)
23 ticks

Pullback to 3.680 – 1058 (28 min)
20 ticks

Notes: We saw a substantially smaller draw on the reserve compared to the forecast which caused a short spike of 68 ticks as it crossed the S2 Pivot and extended the LOD. With JOBB and a 10 tick bracket, your short order would have filled at about 3.704 with 25 ticks of slippage. A profit target of 32 ticks or less would have filled immediately. Otherwise, expect a settling at the end of the bar or :32 bar due to the strong results. It drifted down to hover around 3.678 to allow about 25 ticks to be captured. Then it reversed 29 ticks in 1 min, crossing the S2 Pivot followed by a pullback of 20 ticks in 6 min. Then it reversed 23 ticks in 9 min before pulling back 20 ticks in 10 more min.

1/8/2015 Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report (1030 EST)
Forecast: -120B
Actual: -131B
SPIKE / REVERSE
Started @ 2.880
1st Peak @ 2.934 – 1030:16 (1 min)
54 ticks

Reversal to 2.884 – 1033 (3 min)
50 ticks

Pullback to 2.933 – 1045 (15 min)
49 ticks

Reversal to 2.848 – 1105 (35 min)
85 ticks

Notes: We saw a larger draw on the reserve compared to the forecast which caused a long spike of 54 ticks that started on the 13 SMA and crossed the PP Pivot. With JOBB and a 10 tick bracket, your long order would have filled at about 2.912 with 22 ticks of slippage. Look to exit at about 2.928 with 16 ticks as it was chopping near the top for 17 sec. After the spike it reversed 50 ticks back to the 13 SMA in 2 min. Then it pulled back for 50 ticks for nearly a double top before reversing 85 ticks in 20 min to the 200 SMA / S1 Mid Pivot. After that it rallied for the next few hrs.

1/22/2015 Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report (1030 EST)
Forecast: -231B
Actual: -216B
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 2.899
1st Peak @ 2.823 – 1030:25 (1 min)
76 ticks

Reversal to 2.842 – 1030:39 (1 min)
19 ticks

2nd Peak @ 2.814 – 1033 (3 min)
85 ticks

Reversal to 2.845 – 1035 (5 min)
31 ticks

Final Peak @ 2.803 – 1109 (39 min)
96 ticks

Notes: We saw a smaller draw on the reserve compared to the forecast which caused a large short move. With JOBB and a 10 tick bracket, your short order would have filled around 2.875 with 14 ticks of slippage. It continued to trickle lower then hover near the bottom of the bar to allow 40-45 ticks to be captured. Then it reversed 19 ticks late in the :31 bar before falling for a 2nd peak of 9 more ticks. Then it reversed 31 ticks in 2 min before slowly falling for a final peak of 11 additional ticks in 34 min.