5/21/2014 CNY HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI (2145 EDT)
Forecast: 48.4
Actual: 49.7
Previous Revision: -0.2 to 48.1
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 3.1280
1st Peak @ 3.1385 – 2147 (2 min)
21 ticks
Reversal to 3.1335 – 2148 (3 min)
10 ticks
2nd Peak @ 3.1445 – 2155 (10 min)
33 ticks
Reversal to 3.1390 – 2219 (34 min)
11 ticks
Notes: Report impressed the traders with a small previous report downward revision. This caused a nice healthy long spike that started on the OOD and rose to cross the 50 SMA, R1 Pivot, and extend the HOD while nearly reaching the R2 Mid Pivot over 2 bars. With JOBB, your long order would have filled at about 3.1330 with 7 ticks of slippage (right at the max of the limit order settings. Then it would have given you an opportunity to exit with up to 8 ticks later in the bar. After the peak, it reversed for 10 ticks to the R1 Pivot on the next bar. Then it rebounded for a 2nd peak of 12 more ticks in the next 7 min to the R2 Pivot. After that it fell 11 ticks in 24 min before trading sideways.
We also recommended the 6A as an alternative to the HG with limit orders using 10 as the slippage setting. It saw a long spike of 39 ticks, that would not have filled as the slippage was excessive.