10/30/2014 7-yr Bond Auction (1301 EDT)
Previous: 2.24/2.5
Actual: 2.02/2.4
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 141’22 (1301)
1st Peak @ 141’18 – 1301:38 (1 min)
4 ticks

Reversal to 141’23 – 1305 (4 min)
5 ticks

2nd Peak @ 141’13 – 1325 (24 min)
9 ticks

Reversal to 141’22 – 1347 (46 min)
9 ticks

Notes: Report is not found on Forex Factory, but the spike always breaks after 1:30 min late as with other bond auctions. The highest yield of 2.02 fell substantially from last month while the bid to cover ratio tapered slightly to 2.4. This caused a small short reaction that fell 4 ticks with no barrier near. With JOBB, you would have been filled short at 141’20 with no slippage, then had an opportunity to exit with 1-2 ticks as it hovered just after the spike. Then it reversed 5 ticks in 3 min back to the 20 SMA before falling for a 2nd peak of 5 more ticks to the R1 Mid Pivot in 20 min. Then it reversed 9 ticks in 22 min, back to the 100 SMA.

2/26/2015 7-yr Bond Auction (1301 EST)
Previous: 1.59/2.5
Actual: 1.83/2.4
SPIKE / REVERSE
Started @ 146’29 (1301)
1st Peak @ 146’25 – 1301:43 (1 min)
4 ticks

Reversal to 147’02 – 1323 (22 min)
9 ticks

Pullback to 146’29 – 1330 (29 min)
5 ticks

Reversal to 147’09 – 1349 (48 min)
20 ticks

Pullback to 146’27 – 1405 (64 min)
14 ticks

Notes: Report is not found on Forex Factory, but the spike always breaks after 1:30 min late as with other bond auctions. The highest yield of 1.83 rose from last month while the bid to cover ratio tapered slightly to 2.4. This caused the bonds to fall 4 ticks after starting on the 13 SMA and falling to nearly reach the OOD. With JOBB and a 2 tick bracket, your short order would have filled at 146’27 with no slippage. Look to exit at 146’25 with 2 ticks where it hovered late in the :03 bar. After hovering for a few min, it reversed 9 ticks in 21 min to the 100/200 SMASs. Then it pulled back 5 ticks in 7 min before reversing to eclipse the R1 Pivot in 19 min. Then it pulled back 14 ticks in 16 min.

4/29/2015 7-yr Bond Auction (1301 EDT)
Previous: 1.79/2.3
Actual: 1.82/2.4
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 159’01 (1301)
1st Peak @ 159’10 – 1303:29 (2 min)
9 ticks

Reversal to 159’06 – 1308 (6 min)
4 ticks

2nd Peak @ 159’20 – 1314 (12 min)
19 ticks

Reversal to 159’12 – 1321 (19 min)
8 ticks

Notes: Report is not found on Forex Factory, but the spike always breaks after 1:30 min late as with other bond auctions. The highest yield of 1.82 climbed slightly from last month while the bid to cover ratio also rose slightly to 2.4. This caused the bonds to rally 9 ticks in about 2 min to cross the 100 and 200 SMAs. With JOBB and a 2 tick bracket, your long order would have filled at 159’03 with no slippage. Look to exit at 159’06 with 3 ticks where it hovered initially on the 100 SMA, or wait until it reached the 200 SMA and snag 6 total ticks a minute later. After that it reversed 4 ticks in 4 min before climbing for a 2nd peak of 10 more ticks in 6 min. Then it reversed 8 ticks in 7 min to the S2 Mid Pivot.

6/25/2015 7-yr Bond Auction (1301 EDT)
Previous: 1.82/2.4
Actual: 2.15/2.4
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 149’05 (1301)
1st Peak @ 149’12 – 1301:49 (1 min)
7 ticks

Reversal to 149’08 – 1305 (3 min)
4 ticks

Final Peak @ 149’26 – 1346 (44 min)
21 ticks

Reversal to 149’12 – 1421 (79 min)
14 ticks

Notes: Report is not found on Forex Factory, but the spike always breaks after 1:30 min late as with other bond auctions. The highest yield of 2.15 climbed greatly from last month while the bid to cover ratio remained at 2.4. This caused the bonds to rally 7 ticks in about 14 sec to cross the S1 Mid Pivot. With JOBB and a 2 tick bracket, your long order would have filled at 149’07 with no slippage. Look to exit at 149’11 just above the S1 Mid Pivot with 4 ticks where it hovered. After that it reversed 4 ticks in 2 min to the 13 SMA before stepping higher for a final peak of 14 more ticks in 41 min. Then it reversed 14 ticks in 35 min to the S1 Mid Pivot.

8/27/2015 7-yr Bond Auction (1301 EDT)
Previous: 2.02/2.5
Actual: 1.93/2.5
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 156’06 (1301)
1st Peak @ 156’14 – 1301:44 (1 min)
8 ticks

Final Peak @ 157’03 – 1349 (47 min)
29 ticks

Reversal to 156’17 – 1449 (107 min)
18 ticks

Notes: Report is not found on Forex Factory, but the spike always breaks after 1:30 min late as with other bond auctions. The highest yield of 1.93 fell moderately from last month while the bid to cover ratio stayed the same. This caused the bonds to rise 8 ticks in about 52 sec after crossing the 200 SMA. With JOBB and a 2 tick bracket, your long order would have filled at 156’08 with no slippage. It peaked and hovered without reversing, then continued to climb another 21 ticks in 47 min to the HOD as it used the 13/20 SMAs as support. Then it reversed 18 ticks in 1 hr to the 200 SMA.