3/7/2012 Weekly Crude Oil Inventory Report (0530 HI time / 1030 EDT)
Forecast: 1.0M
Actual: 0.8M
SPIKE WITH 2ND PEAK
Started @ 104.51
1st Peak @ 104.83 – 0531 (1 min)
32 ticks

Reversal to 104.62 – 0533 (3 min)
21 ticks

2nd Peak @ 105.00 – 0535 (5 min)
49 ticks

Reversal to 104.54 – 0549 (19 min)

Notes: Spiked up 32 ticks crossing the 100 SMA, then pulled back 21 ticks before gearing up for a 2nd peak, crossing the 100 SMA and briefly topping the 200 SMA, but caught in the resistance. After bouncing around the 200 SMA, it fell to 104.54.

2/23/2012 Weekly Crude Oil Inventory Report (0530 HI time / 1030 EDT)
Forecast: 0.9M
Actual: 1.6M
INDECISIVE
Started @ 106.03
1st Peak @ 106.20 / Reversal to 105.95 – 0531 (1 min)
17 ticks / -8 ticks

Notes: Spiked up 17 ticks, hitting the 200 SMA and hovering for a few seconds before reversing. Get out at or near the 200 SMA. Not much magnitude on this report since the forecast was close to the actual report.

2/8/2012 Weekly Crude Oil Inventory Report (0530 HI time / 1030 EDT)
Forecast: 2.9M
Actual: 0.3M
INDECISIVE
Started @ 100.15
1st Peak @ 100.30 / Reversal to 99.63 – 0531 (1 min)
15 ticks / -42 ticks

Notes: Spiked up 15 ticks then quickly reversed. This one would hit your stop loss. The market was caught in a FIST before the report. It straddled the 100 SMA on the release, went up then reversed to go through all the major indicators.

1/25/2012 Weekly Crude Oil Inventory Report (0530 HI time / 1030 EDT)
Forecast: 0.9M
Actual: 3.6M
INDECISIVE
Started @ 98.06
1st Peak @ 98.31 / Reversal to 97.89 – 0531 (1 min)
25 ticks / -17 ticks

Notes: Spiked up about 15 ticks then retreated. Try to close out when the initial spike is less than 25 ticks total otherwise your stop loss will protect you.